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But this rate of purchase increased over time, as more people added an item to their online carts. Overall, a 10 percent increase in the fraction of deals claimed appeared to lead to a nearly 3 percent increase in its sales within the next hour. So popularity breeds popularity. But what exactly was at work here? Was it simply that as time went on, more people heard about the offer through social media or from friends?
Or was it that potential customers learned something about the item simply by looking at what percentage of a deal had been claimed? To get at the answer, the team hired research assistants to claim large numbers of items on sale by adding them to their shopping carts.